Seamaiden
Living dead girl
- 23,596
- 638
Interesting analysis. IIRC you're in CO, right? Are you basing this on what you've been observing there? I'm curious to know how MMRSA compares to CO's laws. Of course, MMRSA is still strictly medical, but so far almost everyone's prepared for AUMA to pass and are making moves to be better positioned for its passage.I think the comparison to the alcohol industry is apt, but I (and we) have not been accurate about where in the product life cycle we are. The common case being made is that we are at the dawn of a golden Era similar to microbreweries. I have held that belief and made the argument. I no longer think that is right. We are more in the stages just after prohibition was repealed where regionally markets are developing with their unique aspects. We still need to through those developing, then the conglomerate stages similar to the 70s through 90s where the product becomes homogeneous. Then we can finally have a large enough market to support the craft mj markets that we hope for. I think we are going to see way way more offerings similar to leaves by snoop. He and wiz Khalifa can battle it out like bud, bud light, and miller.
Based on the tax legislation that's breezing through the legislature, I'm not so sure about that. We have a couple of issues, taxation rates, and how those taxes are calculated. Right now it's supposed to be based on canopy. The problem seems to lie in how canopy is defined. I'm reading that some munis are calling everything under the roof 'canopy' and that includes aisles, storage areas, etc. Those tax rates, however they're calculated, if high enough, are going to keep prices high, and probably keep the black market alive for a few years yet.Well let me tell you what I think. Cannabis prices are going to drop fast and drastically, this is starting in Colorado and will soon be the norm in most legal states. In California the price of outdoor units was 2500+ eight years ago and has dropped to an average of 1400 with all indications that the price will continue to drop and this is in a grey market with very little competition from the "big guys". Once legalization kicks in the true price of cannabis will start to prevail, most likely in the area of 100-500 per unit depending on quality and strain and that will eliminate most of the market place. Unfortunately, unlike alcohol great herb can be grown in very large batches and that will be problematic for everyone who considers themselves a craft grower. If you can find a way to be competitive in the low price range then it will be like most businesses. That's my two cents. For now don't be afraid of paper work, get politically involved, and mine the fuck out of this green gold while it's still a reality!
Based on my reading, the DEA will be rescheduling to Sched. II, and all indications are that it's going to be in the next handful of years. I'm surmising that these people are basing their ideas and opinions on a combination of this information and how other legalized states are currently being handled.I still fail to understand why so many folks operate under the assumption of soon-to-be-legalization, ignoring the fact that (I think) that marijuana won't be reclassified anytime soon and will remain illegal under federal law.
POSSIBLY. The DEA keeps putting it off, they were supposed to make an announcement last month. The GOP in the legislature have blocked efforts from that angle as well (which is why people should be involved and write or call their representatives, this is precisely where the rubber meets the road).Secondly, it appears that cannabis will be rescheduled down to schedule 2 sometime before years end and his will be the entry point for some of the bigger industry guys.